Is that Kalshi price actually +EV?

We de-vig sharp sportsbook consensus and line it up against Kalshi and Polymarket prices for every NFL and college football game — and still watch the cross-platform spread 24/7. Get pinged the moment a real edge opens. You take it from there.

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Paid alerts aren't open yet. The board and research below are free to browse without one. An account adds market search — paste any Kalshi or Polymarket link and we'll find its counterpart and what the gap clears after costs — plus a watchlist.

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prices update every 5 min
MarketKalshi YesPolymarket YesGapAfter costs
New York G wins23¢23¢+0.5 pts-6.0 pts
Indianapolis wins26¢25¢+1.0 pts-7.0 pts
Washington wins36¢35¢+1.0 pts-6.0 pts
Miami wins17¢17¢+0.5 pts-5.0 pts
Seattle wins83¢81¢+2.0 pts-6.0 pts
Las Vegas wins25¢24¢+1.0 pts-6.0 pts
Jacksonville wins43¢42¢+1.5 pts-4.0 pts
Cleveland wins32¢31¢+1.5 pts-7.0 pts
Cincinnati wins46¢46¢+0.5 pts-6.0 pts
New Orleans wins25¢24¢+1.5 pts-4.0 pts
Green Bay wins69¢68¢+1.5 pts-6.0 pts
Carolina wins48¢47¢+1.0 pts-7.0 pts

Gap is the difference between the two venues' listed YES prices. It is not free money: crossing it costs each venue's bid/ask spread plus Kalshi's fee, which today eats every gap on the board. Why that happens. Across 136,441 readings of 178 games we have measured, 0.0% of gaps cleared the fee. See the measurement.

Prices shown are public market data from Kalshi and Polymarket, matched per-game by team. Spread = best cross-platform difference after buying opposite sides.

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